The latest on the presidential horse race.

Tag Archives: California

Clinton Beats Sanders in California and New Jersey

The latest polls by CBS News/YouGov have placed Hillary Clinton ahead of Bernie Sanders in both California and New Jersey.

California

  • Hillary Clinton – 49%
  • Bernie Sanders – 47%

New Jersey

  • Hillary Clinton – 61%
  • Bernie Sanders – 34%

By this point, the math is on Clinton’s side. She has thoroughly beat Sanders in enough primaries and is close to clinching the Democratic nomination. Nearly all of the superdelegates back her and will continue to back her, barring an epic collapse. Clinton will represent the Democrats in 2016 and she will likely be the next president of the United States.

Sanders has promised to continue his campaign against all odds. His fight is valiant, but it is a senseless one at this point. He stands no chance of winning the nomination and his efforts to contest the convention will only serve to hurt the Democratic Party.

With the election fast approaching, the Democratic Party will need to unite under one candidate. The Republican Party is close to achieving this under Donald Trump, an unpopular candidate by all means.

Photo credit: CBC.

Hillary Clinton Tops Sanders, The Dems Trounce Trump

The latest round of polls by Field Research have placed Hillary Clinton ahead of Bernie Sanders and both Clinton and Sanders ahead of the Republican nominee Donald Trump in California.

Head-to-Head Matchups

  • Hillary Clinton 45% – Bernie Sanders 43%
  • Hillary Clinton 53% – Donald Trump 34%
  • Bernie Sanders 60% – Donald Trump 31%

California will go to the Democrats no matter what Trump does. However, what is interesting in this poll is the fact that Sanders is closing the gap on Clinton and that he continues to dominate Trump in the polls.

One has to question whether the Democrats backed the right candidate. Without going into details about the primary system, or Sanders weaknesses, Sanders seems like he should have been the candidate to represent the Democrats in 2016. He continues to perform well against Trump in the majority of polls and Trump was scared to debate Sanders, knowing that he would have been hit hard on economic questions.

Regardless, Clinton will lead the Democrats in 2016 and will more than likely take the election. Sanders continues to campaign, but the delegate math is not on his side and there is virtually no chance that he can win the nomination at this point.

Of course, Trump will fight tooth and nail to win the election, but a Trump victory seems unlikely based on how many demographics he has alienated throughout the current election cycle. Trump will never be able to win over Latino and women voters due to the horrific comments that he made earlier in the primary cycle.

Photo credit: Fox 61.

Clinton Ties Trump in Virginia, Slaughters Him in California

The latest round of surveys for Virginia (Roanoke College) and California (KABC/SurveyUSA) have resulted in a tie between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump and a Trump slaughter.

Virginia

  • Hillary Clinton – 38%
  • Donald Trump – 38%

California

  • Hillary Clinton – 52%
  • Donald Trump – 38%

Clinton is slowly building up momentum in the polls and proving that she should be able to kill Trump in the general election. The Democrats are in a strong position in this election, and as unpopular as Clinton is, she is a more sensible choice than Trump.

The sooner Clinton can put Sanders down or find a way to bring him into the fold, the sooner she can move past her primary strategy and start focusing on her general election strategy.

Trump’s best chance of winning is to unify the GOP, convince independent voters, and find a way to tap into Bernie Sander’s angry supporters or hope that they abstain. Even though Sanders has lost, he has a lot of supporters who will be looking for a new candidate. Democratic Party experts believe they will fall into line, but the overall youthfulness of Sander’s supporters makes it hard to predict their allegiances.

Photo credit: Raw Conservative.

Trump and Clinton Favored in California

For weeks, the primary race for both the Republicans and Democrats was stale, but after a dramatic week for both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, the race is now heated and unpredictable. The latest California poll by Field has placed Trump and Clinton in the lead, but their once dominant leads have receded.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 47%
  • Bernie Sanders – 41%

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 39%
  • Ted Cruz – 32%
  • John Kasich – 18%

Weeks ago, it looked as if Hillary Clinton had wrapped up the Democratic nomination. However, Sanders has managed to win 7 of his last 8 primaries and his delegate count is creeping closer and closer to Clinton’s.

A strong performance in California, a state that Sanders should be popular in, could put him level with Clinton. A lot of delegates are up for grabs and it is imperative that Sanders perform well in this state.

For Clinton, she needs to flip Sander’s negativity against him. Regardless of where you stand on the drama between the two candidates, Sanders came off as petty and aggressive this week and Clinton’s campaign needs to use that against him to secure votes in the upcoming primaries. In the past, Sanders promised never to run a negative campaign, but this week, that changed and he broke that promise.

For the Republicans, Trump is starting to feel the pressure. Ted Cruz is rapidly approaching him and it appears as if he  may be able to challenge him for the Republican nomination. With the GOP establishment begrudgingly backing him, Cruz is poised to, at the very least, contest the Republican convention.

Photo credit: DC Whispers.

Cruz Pulls Level with Trump in California

California is a Democratic state, no matter how you look at it. But, thanks to the primaries, Republican voters have an opportunity to vote for their favorite Republican candidate as well. The latest California poll by the LA Times placed Donald Trump at the front of the pack, but Ted Cruz came in a very close second.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 36%
  • Ted Cruz – 35%
  • John Kasich – 14%

If Ted Cruz could come away with California, that would be huge for his campaign and may provide him with enough momentum to win some of the other contested states. Is this a likely outcome? No, but based on the unpredictability of this election cycle, never say never.

As for Trump, he still leads the Republican Party and it appears as if he will win the nomination. He has been milking the Brussels, Belgium, terror attack, playing up his anti-Muslim rhetoric and suggesting that the west needs to take a stand against terrorism. In addition, Trump has successfully tangled Cruz up in his immature bravado, engaging him in a who’s wife is hotter contest.

John Kasich is still a candidate, but most of the world questions why. He won Ohio and nothing else. He continues to hold on in hopes that he can snag the nomination through a contested convention, but this seems like an impossible reality and something that a presidential candidate shouldn’t rely on to win.

Photo credit: Republic Buzz.

Trump Pulls Ahead in California

Donald Trump has pulled away with an early lead in the latest Landslide/NSON poll for California.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Donald Trump – 38%
  • Ted Cruz – 22%
  • John Kasich – 20%
  • Marco Rubio – 10%

Even though the Democrats will win California, Trump should easily come away with a victory in the state. Neither Ted Cruz or John Kasich have much appeal in the state and Trump’s anti-Latino rhetoric will help him cement the racist vote.

Cruz may be able to appeal to Latino voters due to his last name, but any individual that understands his policies will be thoroughly turned off by his platform and will be more likely to vote for a Trump or Kasich.

The 10 percent of voters that chose Rubio will either avoid voting out of loyalty, turn to Trump, or splinter between Kasich and Cruz. Either way, this small fraction of votes will not make the difference and it will do very little to stop Trump’s momentum.

Photo credit: Donkey Hotey.

Clinton Wins California, Maintains a Sizable Lead over Sanders

The latest California poll by the Field Research Corporation has placed Hillary Clinton at the top of the Democrats, 11 percent ahead of her rival Bernie Sanders.

Which Democratic candidate would you vote for?

  • Hillary Clinton – 46%
  • Bernie Sanders – 35%

Clinton currently holds a respectable lead over Sanders in California. Her 11 percent lead shows that she is the top candidate, but with its liberal tendencies, California could easily slide in Sanders favor if he can push his progressive agenda and convince voters that he is genuinely interested in improving their well-being.

Most experts believe that Sanders is a more electable candidate than Clinton and most voters believe that he is genuine about his promises. Clinton on the other hand, has a history of lying, she has been caught saying what voters want to hear in the past, and she only took stances on major issues after Sanders already did.

Sanders needs to exploit the fact that Clinton is two-faced if he wants to gain momentum and catapult past her in the standings. While a Sanders nomination may seem like an impossible feat, it is entirely possible given the fact that Donald Trump is somehow still relevant and very likely to win the Republican nomination. There are no rules in the current election cycle and the time for Sanders to pounce is now.

Photo credit: People.

Cruz Narrowly Beats Trump in California

The latest California Republican poll by Field has broken the status quo and revealed that Ted Cruz is leading the Republicans with Donald Trump coming in second.

Which Republican candidate would you vote for?

  • Ted Cruz – 25%
  • Donald Trump – 23%
  • Marco Rubio – 13%
  • Ben Carson – 9%
  • Rand Paul – 6%
  • Jeb Bush – 4%

While Cruz’s lead is narrow, it is the first time in a long while that he has managed to overtake Trump. Still, California is a surefire Democrat state and it is unlikely that either candidate will gain ground in it. The results of this poll show how far Cruz has come as a candidate and that Trump will absolutely need to respect him going forward or risk losing votes.

Trump still continues to dominate eastern states and tends to win out in battleground states like Iowa and New Hampshire. His lead is secure, but Cruz has emerged as a legitimate contender for the Republican nomination. Unlike Ben Carson, Cruz has a much better understanding of foreign policy and the Republican process and he is able to play the religion card effectively, cementing himself as the voice of the evangelicals in the United States.

Marco Rubio has maintained his position in third place for a few months and it looks as if that is where he will stay. He is having trouble convincing Republicans that he is a better candidate than either Cruz and Trump and he is running out of time to make an impression ahead of the Iowa caucuses.

Photo credit: Slate.