The latest on the presidential horse race.

Virginia 2016: Cruz and Paul Trail While Christie Beats Hillary

The Polling Company, 11/19-11/20

  • Clinton: 42, Christie: 44
  • Clinton: 50, Paul: 43
  • Clinton: 51, Cruz: 41

In a new poll released by The Polling Company, a conservative leaning polling service, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie has a slight lead on Democratic favorite Hillary Clinton in the key swing state of Virginia while Clinton has a strong lead over Tea Party candidates Rand Paul and Ted Cruz.

The poll, conducted between November 19 and November 20, sampled 600 registered Virginia voters. The poll found that Virginia has very similar leanings as other swing states like Colorado and North Carolina with conservative candidates trailing badly while moderate Chris Christie is in a dead heat with Hillary Clinton.

Of the 600 voters polled, 44 percent said they would vote for Chris Christie while 42 percent opted for the former Secretary of State in a hypothetical 2016 matchup. Fifteen percent said they were undecided. Of the 600 respondents, 37 percent identified as Democrats, 30 percent as Republicans, and 31 percent as independents.

On the other hand, Hillary Clinton would beat Texas Senator Ted Cruz handedly 51-41 in a hypothetical matchup with just 9 percent undecided. Kentucky Senator Rand Paul performs only slightly better, trailing the former First Lady by a margin of 50-43 with a mere 7 percent undecided.

The poll also surveyed voters on a potential presidential run by Virginia Senator Mark Warner, one of many potential secondary candidates behind Clinton in the Democratic primary polls. Warner has an obvious home field advantage but is deadlocked with Chris Christie, 42-41. Seventeen percent of voters said they are undecided.

Warner does top Ted Cruz in a landslide, 52 percent to 37 percent, with just 11 percent undecided. Warner also leads Rand Paul 53 percent to 39 percent with 8 percent undecided.

Virginia and its 13 electoral votes have been a key part of both Barack Obama’s and George W. Bush’s victories. It’s former red state that has been trending blue, especially after the election of Democrat Terry McAliffe as governor earlier this month. Obama won Virginia 51.1 to 47.3 in 2012 over Mitt Romney and 52.6 to 46.3 in 2008 over John McCain. On the flip side, George Bush won the state in both of his elections, 53.7 to 45.5 over John Kerry in 2004 and 52.5 to 44.4 over Al Gore in 2000.

(Image courtesy of Gage Skidmore)