The latest on the presidential horse race.

Poll: Jeb Bush Has Big Lead in Florida Republican Primary

Quinnipiac, 1/22-1/27

  • Bush: 25
  • Rubio: 16
  • Paul: 11
  • Christie: 9
  • Cruz: 9
  • Ryan: 5
  • Walker: 5
  • Jindal: 3

Talk about a home field advantage. According to the latest Quinnipiac poll, former Florida Governor Jeb Bush leads the Sunshine’s State crucial primary by nearly double-digits.

According to the poll, conducted between January 22 and January 27, sampling 586 registered voters, Bush leads the GOP pack with 25 percent of the vote. Bush has now led in every Florida primary poll since all the way back in March of 2013.

Coming in second, also with a home field advantage but clearly less so, is Florida Senator Marco Rubio with 16 percent. In the last poll, conducted in November, Rubio also placed second with 18 percent of the vote.

No other candidate was even within striking distance of Bush. Placing third was Kentucky Senator Rand Paul with 11 percent of the vote. That’s still a slight improvement over his 9 percent in November’s poll.

All of the other candidates were unable to garner double-digit support. Embattled New Jersey Governor Chris Christie finished fourth with 9 percent, a significant drop from 14 percent in November. Christie is now tied with Texas Senator Ted Cruz, who also dropped from 12 percent last year to 9 percent in the latest poll.

Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan received 5 percent of the vote, tied with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. We’ve seen Paul Ryan do much better in polls that don’t include Walker so there may only be room for one candidate from the Badger State.

Trailing behind everyone was Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal with 3 percent of the vote. Another 2 percent said they prefer someone else, 2 percent said they wouldn’t vote for any of the candidates, and 14 percent remain undecided.

Florida is a crucial primary on the Republican schedule. It is the fourth primary in the nation and by far the biggest before early March’s Super Tuesday. A win in the Sunshine State could give Bush a big boost.