The latest on the presidential horse race.

If Not Chris Christie, Paul Ryan is 2016 GOP Frontrunner

NBC/Marist, 1/12-1/14
GOP, without Christie

  • Ryan: 15
  • Paul: 11
  • Bush: 11
  • Rubio: 10
  • Santorum: 7
  • Cruz: 6
  • Perry: 6
  • Walker: 5
  • Jindal: 5

There haven’t been a lot of polls done since Chris Christie’s multitude of scandals but, from the ones we have seen, the New Jersey Governor has plummeted in the general election polls and is no longer leading the pack in GOP primary polling. According to an NBC News/Marist poll, if Chris Christie was not in the race, Paul Ryan would be the de facto Republican frontrunner for the 2016 nomination.

The poll, conducted between January 12 and January 14, sampling 385 registered Republicans, found that if Chris Christie were not in the race, Paul Ryan would lead the GOP pack with 15 percent of the vote. In the latest GOP primary poll, that did include Christie, Ryan was tied with Kentucky Senator Rand Paul for first place in a very close race.

Without Christie in the race, however, Rand Paul trails Ryan with 11 percent of the vote. Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush also received 11 percent of the vote and could be seen by many as a moderate, non-Tea Party-affiliated candidate if Christie were to drop off or drop out.

Interestingly, Christie’s absence would heavily help Florida Senator Marco Rubio who received 10 percent of the vote among respondents. Rubio has not received double-digit support in any poll taken since November.

The rest of the pack would remain on the outside looking in, despite Christie’s votes being up for grabs. According to the poll, 26 percent of Republican primary voters would be undecided if Christie wasn’t in the race.

Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum received 7 percent, Texas Senator Ted Cruz and Texas Governor Rick Petty both received 6 percent, Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker received 5 percent, and Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal received 4 percent.

(Image courtesy of Tobyotter)