The latest on the presidential horse race.

Hillary Clinton’s Favorable Ratings at Dangerous Lows

YouGov/Economist 1/14-2/22 and 11/4-11/25
Hillary Clinton Favorable Rating:

  • All Adults: January: 56, November: 47
  • Democrats: January: 84, November: 80
  • Independents: January: 51, November: 40
  • Republicans: January: 24, November: 15
  • White: January: 52, November: 41
  • African-American: January: 80, November: 68
  • Hispanic: January: 55, November: 54

While Hillary Clinton remains the preeminent Democratic Presidential nominee, and holds a strong favorable rating among Democrats, a new study by The Economist and YouGov has found that Clinton may not be in as strong a position for the general election as the former Secretary’s of State favorable ratings have plummeted among every major demographic since she left office in January.

The study compared poll responses in January to poll responses in November, using weekly averages to compare the former First Lady’s favorable ratings. Among all adults polled, Clinton’s favorable rating dropped from 56 percent in January to 47 percent in November.

Among independent voters, Hillary’s favorable rating has slipped from 51 percent in January to 40 percent in November, signaling a tough road ahead should see advance to the general election. Among Republicans, Hillary wasn’t very favorable to begin with, polling at 24 percent in January, but even that number was down to 15 percent in November. Even Democrats, with whom Clinton enjoyed an 84 percent favorable rating in January, have dipped slightly to 80 percent in November.

A big concern has to be her lack of African-American support, the most key constituency for Democrats seeking office. While Hillary saw an 80 percent favorable rating among African-Americans in January while she was a member of Barack Obama’s cabinet, that number is down to 68 percent in November. She has fallen among white voters too, dropping from 52 percent in January to 41 percent in November. Hillary’s favorable rating among Hispanic voters has remained the most steady, down just one point from 55 percent in January to 54 percent in November.

At first glance, Clinton should have no problem nailing down the Democratic nomination, even three years out. The problem is going to be her viability in the general election. While Hillary has decently sized leads over most potential Republican candidates in hypothetical 2016 matchups, she routinely finds herself trailing or tied with New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. Although Christie will have to win over the conservative base to seal the GOP nomination, the governor enjoys a 52 percent favorable rate nationwide and even a 54 percent favorable rate among Democrats.

(Image courtesy of Marc Nozell)