The latest on the presidential horse race.

2014 Massachusetts Governor: Baker Officially Takes the Lead after Trailing for Months

Boston Globe, 9/28 – 9/30

2014 Massachusetts Governor

  • Charlie Baker – Republican – 39%
  • Martha Coakley – Democrat – 36%

The Boston Globe has released a new poll for the 2014 Massachusetts governor race. If you are voting for the Democrat Martha Coakley, you may be disappointed with the results. Her Republican opponent, Charlie Baker, has closed a massive double digit gap over the last few months and has now taken the lead in most polls. Currently, Baker has 39 percent of the votes, while Coakley has only 36 percent.

In May, Coakley was +9, in June she was +13, and in July she was +15. After July, her ratings began to fall. At this point, Baker capitalized on his opponent’s downswing and began to rise.

44 percent of the voters see Baker as a favorable candidate, while 48 percent say the same about Coakley. 16 percent of voters have never heard of Baker and for Coakley the number is only 2 percent.

Massachusetts is a blue state. However, historically, they have favored Republican governors, who are expected to act as a system of checks and balances against the liberal machine. The state has voted in 31 Republican governors to the Democrat’s 19. Before the Democrat Governor Deval Patrick was elected, the previous four governors were all Republican.

Why has Coakley fallen so far in the polls? As attorney general, she has worked on many cases that have involved child abuse. Supporters of Baker have created a set of attack ads that have criticized Coakley for being too soft and for not doing enough, a fact which is untrue, and one that has upset Coakley and made her look overly defensive.

As of now, it looks as if the gubernatorial race in Massachusetts will be won by the Republicans.

Photo credit: WBUR.